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The Corporate Council on Africa reports
on the increasing strategic importance of African oil to the US
West Africa stands on the brink of an unprecedented oil boom
as global oil corporations pour billions of dollars into offshore
and natural gas developments, reaping the benefits of the world's
last large unexplored energy frontier. The region offers what is
potentially the next major economic growth point in the world, based
on strategic energy supplies and other natural resources. West Africa's
geographic location is accessible by world markets; the region offers
relatively low labor and infrastructure costs; and, most significantly,
the prospect of relative strategic stability.
The US is spearheading the rush for African energy supplies. Already,
West Africa supplies close to 15 per cent of US petroleum, roughly
the same quantity it receives from Saudi Arabia. Nigeria, whose
oil production is 2.25 million bpd, has now begun to develop its
natural gas resources as well. Nigeria is capable of more than doubling
its GDP from energy exports over the next five years, excluding
any new reserve discoveries.
African oil production sky rockets
Angola, a country whose oil production has skyrocketed in recent
years, plans to double production from 900,000 bpd, to 1.8 million
by 2007. Given their tremendous resources, Nigeria and Angola are
the top two energy-producing states in West Africa, but they represent
only the initial thrust of the energy boom in the region.
Over the past decade, foreign oil companies have found at least
500 million barrels of high-grade crude oil in Equatorial Guinea's
waters. Production there has jumped from 17,000 bpd in 1996 to more
than 220,000 bpd currently, and may reach over 700,000 barrels by
2020.
The expansion in Equatorial Guinea is being repeated across the
region. Chad, will soon start pumping more than 220,000 bpd through
a 1,000 km long pipeline. This pipeline is the largest infrastructure
project to be
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undertaken in Africa to date. The project will cost over US$ 3.5
billion.
The island archipelago of Sao Tome and Principe is another key
area, sitting on between two and four billion barrels of crude oil.
It will begin selling offshore concession areas to oil majors in
an area known as the "Joint Development Zone," currently
under development in conjunction with Nigeria.
Natural gas is another quickly growing commodity. In 2000, Africa
provided 17.4 per cent of the world's natural gas exports, including
9.1 per cent of pipeline and 41 per cent of LNG exports. Two thirds
of the total exports came from Algeria. Both Angola and Nigeria are
in position to spend billions on this sector. It is of importance
to note that while acknowledged gas reserves are small compared to
the rest of the world, undiscovered reserves are considered to be
substantial.
AGOA takes effect
With the passage of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA)
in 2000, African companies now have a competitive advantage doing
business with the US. From US Department of Commerce data, AGOA
trade between the US and Africa last year was US$ 9 billion, an
increase of 10 per cent from the year before. This figure includes
AGOA-eligible countries under both the pre-existing US Generalized
System of Preferences (GSP) and the expanded AGOA GSP, plus textile
and apparel imported duty-free and quota-free under AGOA provisions.
With provisions allowing for petroleum products exported to the
US from lesser-developed countries, Angola was the leading GSP beneficiary
in the world for the second consecutive year, with US$ 2.7 billion
in benefits, an increase of 3.5 per cent from 2001.
This provision also allowed Equatorial Guinea to be thirteenth
for GSP benefits. South Africa was the world's eighth GSP beneficiary
with US$ 552.9 million in benefits, a 9.2 per cent increase from
2001. Angola, South Africa and Equatorial Guinea accounted for 94
per cent of total GSP use in sub-Saharan Africa.
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Angolan
President Dos Santos addresses CCA delegates
Sub-Saharan Africa's total merchandise imports climbed 6 per cent
in 2001 to US$ 87.7 billion and its total merchandise exports were
US$ 86.2 billion.
Hot reserves
All this action makes the waters of West Africa one of the hottest
places for oil exploration in the world. On a global scale, the
numbers may seem modest: total proven reserves in the Gulf of Guinea
sit at 47 million barrels, only one sixth of Saudi Arabia's 261
billion barrels of reserves. But Africa is just getting started.
For several decades yet, Africa will enjoy the phenomenon known
as "reserve creep", during which the discovery of additional
oil reserves will continually increase the current reserve figures.
In 2001, 7 billion of an estimated 8 billion barrels of oil discovered
worldwide were located off the coast of Africa.
The US business community has found that even outside the oil and
gas sector Africa has opportunities for growth. Two-way trade between
the US and Africa is at US$ 24 billion, making the US Africa's largest
single country market, purchasing 26 per cent of the region's exports
in 2001. In 2002, US exports to sub-Saharan Africa were 46 per cent
greater than those to the former Soviet Union republics, and nearly
twice those to Eastern Europe. US exports to South Africa alone
were larger than our sales to Russia, whose population is more than
3.5 times as large.
Africa matters to the US.
The Corporate Council on Africa (CCA) is a non-profit, membership
organization of over 160 US companies dedicated to the African marketplace.
It's the leading US organization dedicated to enhancing trade and
investment ties between the US and the 53 nations of Africa. The
American companies that make up the CCA represent nearly 85 per
cent of all US private sector investment in Africa.
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